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As long as energy is plentiful, a society can invest in complexity
[Globalism- editor]; but once
energy supplies reach their limit or start to decline, complexity
[Globalism-editor] becomes less
and less affordable. (Energy includes food supplies, labor and fuels) -
Joseph Tainter
When Rome became an empire it was a solar
energy society, the public works, education, the army and social benefits
for citizens needed more and more money. In those days, this required also
financing. It was done by taxation and by debasing the currency (inflation).
Taxes became eventually so high that the landowners abandoned their farms,
causing food production to fall (Zimbabwe).
Each time in history there was a major economic crisis and war, complex
society was saved because it was able to switch to a more economic source of
energy: from Solar energy to Wood, from Wood to Coal (steam), from Coal to Oil
(liquid energy engine), from Oil to ............?
Faced with a
price that becomes too high to maintain complexity, a society can choose to
become less complex. A recent example of a society becoming less complex was the
USSR in 1990. The Soviet Union then granted autonomy to its formerly
controlled states. This lowered the cost of government while letting Russia keep
enough military power to both protect itself and to feed its people.
More recently, the same phenomenon was seen when
the Czech Republic and Slovakia fell
apart. Because of the higher cost to keep these societies on a high level of
complexity, political resistance is slowly but surely diminishing.
With the ever increasing price
of energy and worsening economic problems in Europe and North America, we may in
the future see less complex political structures.
Within the
EU, Greece, Italy and Spain have enormous financial problems. Spain and Greece,
for example, should be able to devaluate its currency. However, being part of
the EU such an action has become impossible. In economic terms, this implies
that the only possible corrective action will be a recession and probably a
depression: if the value of the Fiat Money cannot be adjusted, than the
value of the Goods will.
For North America, some writers are proposing
the “Amero”. Under this system Canada, the USA and Mexico would fall into one
financial system. The Amero would then be able to compete with the Euro. In a
nutshell, it would be a similar action like Europe has seen with the EU some
years ago. But talks about an Amero are MOPE and we'll probably see the
opposite: a secession of the USA and the advent of LOCAL-STATE-CURRENCIES.
Actually, the
formation of the EURO was an idea created by Globalism that was marketed by politicians because
at that time it was a
win-win situation for both entities. As explained in earlier articles, Globalism
will under pressure of higher energy prices, now have to reverse
course. In all cases, it has become impossible for Globalism to survive in an
environment where the price of energy skyrockets.
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