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Markets in a Nutshell - May 2008

Posted on May 26, 2008

Are stock markets preparing for a second down leg?

I think they are. Checking my charts on the S&P Large Cap index, the Footsie, the Dax and the French CAC there is something that starts to look like a Goodbye Kiss is the wrong direction (down). What bothers me is that the kiss is consumed on the very border line of the Huge Long Term Distribution patterns (Reversed Head and Shoulders and Double Tops). 

Additionally, the SPIC and the Dow have already been cursed by a Death Cross in Moving Averages, most of the times such crosses  don’t spell a lot of good. 

Going East where the sun rises, the Shanghai index and Nikkei have stalled against their respective downtrend lines.

Hyperinflation and the massive injection of money into the system can however have a similar impact on the markets like we have seen in Zimbabwe. Still, I think it is wiser to stick with i.e. Oil & Gas and Gold & Silver shares at least until there is a better vision on the future.

On the other hand, and this is good news for holders of stocks of integrated Oil and Gas and service and exploration shares, most have broken out upwards of their latest consolidation (read accumulation) zone.

 I will discuss the charts in detail either this week or beginning next week under Life Technical Analysis. Stay tuned!


Posted on May 24, 2008

Markets in a nutshell

  • Expect GOLD to surprise and shine more than normal during the coming summer.

  • Expect the DOLLAR to resume its’ slide.

  • Expect the STERLING to resume its’ slide against the Euro.

  • GOLD SHARES are about to break out on the upside.

  • The COMMODITY index has broken out again on the upside.

  • Expect a resumption of the CREDIT problems.

  • Expect a second DOWN LEG for the Stock markets.

  • Most FINANCIAL stocks are preparing for a renewed break down.

 

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